EPCR Challenge Cup Final: Montpellier vs Ulster Prediction & Betting Odds
21/05/2026|SB Staff|Misc Tips & Predictions
The game will be played in Bilbao, Spain, at the San Mames Stadium on Saturday, May 23, with it scheduled to start at 05:00 AEST.
Quick Picks
Our pick: Montpellier to win
Value bet: Ulster handicap
Long shot: 2nd Half in Highest Scoring Half
Betting Preview
Montpellier may feel that they have a better chance of winning the game on Saturday morning, as they know what it takes to play in the final.
They've won this competition on two occasions, having done so in 2016 and 2021. However, those two victories were against two English sides, and away from Spanish soil.
Ulster have never reached the final of the EPCR Challenge Cup, but they'll have a squad that is capable of challenging for the trophy this weekend.
The problem they may face is due to the number of known injuries they have in the team.
Montpellier are all about attack. They boast the competition's most tries (36), along with 878 carries thanks to their well-oiled moves to break down the opposition line.
They also have a 92% success rate at line-outs, which leads the tournament. Players like Ali Price, Lenni Nouchi, and Gabriel N'gandebe are key players for the French side who have all been influential.
Ulster will look to Zac Ward to help lead them. He has looked almost unstoppable at times, beating 30 defenders (the most in the competition) and scoring four tries.
Nathan Doak is another, as he has enjoyed a breakout season.
He has controlled the tempo for Ulster and will be vital to their chances of success. Juarno Augustus is another to watch; he has a 91% success rate in tackles this season and is a relentless ball carrier.
Betting Markets to Watch
Montpellier's experience and previous history in this competition is perhaps the reason why they are considered the favourites.
At the same time, the injuries that Ulster enter the game with have perhaps seen their chances to be perceived as low.
However, we think there's value in Ulster to cover the handicap. At +6.5, Ulster can keep things tight.
They have repeatedly stayed in high-pressure European games; they handled La Rochelle 41–24 in the quarter-final and generally kept their structure intact rather than collapsing when down.
For those looking to bet on the European Champions Cup, this final offers a great opportunity to explore European rugby betting markets.
Our Prediction
Check the latest Montpellier vs Ulster betting odds at Sportsbet.
Our prediction is for Montpellier to be likely winners.
We think there's value in the Highest Scoring Half market, with the '2nd Half' outcome. Both teams can often start slowly and finish stronger in big European games.
If you enjoy rugby union international betting, the Challenge Cup Final showcases some of the best club talent from across Europe.
European rugby continues to deliver thrilling finals, and punters can explore more Six Nations betting options when international rugby returns.


