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Six Nations: England vs Wales Betting Tips & Predictions

05/02/2026|SB Staff|Misc Tips & Predictions
<p>In that game, England scored 10 tries, with Wales scoring just two. It was a display of pure dominance from the team that would eventually end up second in the table, one point behind the winners, France.</p> <p>For Wales, it was a Six Nations to forget, as they failed to win any of their five games, scoring just 10 tries across the whole competition.</p> <p>Read on for our England vs Wales betting predictions…</p> <h2>Quick Picks</h2> <p><strong>Our pick</strong>: England to win</p> <p><strong>Value bet</strong>: England -27.5 line market</p> <p><strong>Long shot</strong>: England to win by 8-14 points</p> <h2>Betting Preview</h2> <p>Many aren't giving Wales much of a chance to win this game, with it being considered a huge upset if they do. Indeed, England has plenty of stars in their team that can make a huge difference.</p> <p>When it comes to recent meetings between these two nations, England have won seven of the last 10 meetings. Of the last six Six Nations matches, Wales have won just once (2021). These results have included:</p> <ul> <li>Mar 2025: Wales 14-68 England</li> <li>Feb 2024: England 16-14 Wales</li> <li>Feb 2023: Wales 10-20 England</li> <li>Feb 2022: England 23-19 Wales</li> <li>Feb 2021: Wales 40-24 England</li> <li>Mar 2020: England 33-30 Wales</li> </ul> <p>While scores had been relatively close in most of these matchups, the blowout in last year's encounter was perhaps more of an outlier and representative of how bad things have been for Welsh rugby.</p> <h2>Betting Markets to Watch</h2> <p>The Line market offers greater value than the moneyline, with the number set at -27.5 points for England. It aligns with England's home strength, Wales' poor form, and the outlier 68-14, which inflates expectations, as they averaged a 14.4-point margin over prior wins.</p> <p>Recent Six Nations clashes show England winning five of six by margins of 2 (2024), 10 (2023), 4 (2022), 16 (2020), and 54 (2025), but excluding the anomaly drops the average to ~8 points. At Twickenham specifically, England have won the last three by 2, 33 (2020), and 47 (2006), with no Welsh win since 2015.</p> <p>Total match points are also worth exploring for value. With the line set at <strong>54.5 points</strong>, the <strong>Under</strong> offers value. With margins relatively small despite last year's blowout, Wales averaged just 12.8 points in their last five losses to England. If you're looking to <a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/betting/rugby-union/the-six-nations">bet on the Six Nations</a>, exploring totals markets can provide excellent opportunities.</p> <h2>Our Prediction</h2> <p>Check the latest <a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/betting/rugby-union/the-six-nations/england-v-wales-9905284">England vs Wales betting odds</a> at Sportsbet.</p> <p>Our prediction is that<strong> England win this match</strong>. Wales haven't enjoyed this fixture and don't particularly do well when playing in England. England are unbeaten in 11 (9 wins) entering this game.</p> <p>As a long shot, we think there is value in the<strong> 'England to win by 8-14'</strong> market. With the 68-14 an outlier, we think this meeting will be much closer to those that happened previously.</p> <h2>Keep Reading</h2> <ul> <li><a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/betting/rugby-union/international-matches">Your complete guide to betting on international rugby union</a></li> <li><a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/betting/rugby-union/european-champions-cup">Who's in the hunt to be crowned kings of Europe?</a></li> <li><a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/huddle/punter-iq/guide/how-to-bet-rugby-championship">Everything you need to know about betting on the Rugby Championship</a></li> </ul>

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