<p>Mafia presents genuine value at $6.50 for Saturday's Randwick Race 3 over 1200m. Kerrin McEvoy partners the M. Beer & G. Carpenter-trained galloper who comes out of the Denman Cup at Muswellbrook where track quirks hindered his finishing kick.</p>
<p><strong>The key insight? </strong></p>
<p>Mafia wandered in the straight on Muswellbrook's tricky layout despite finding the line nicely. Randwick's longer straight and bigger track dimensions should suit his racing pattern far better, with increased tempo expected to play into his strengths.</p>
<p>This isn't just about the odds movement, it's about a horse stepping up to a track that matches his racing style. When form meets opportunity, that's where the smart money often lands.</p>
<p>Odds subject to change.</p>
<p><a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/horse-racing/australia-nz/randwick/race-3-9759454">Markets available here</a>.</p>
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