<p>Pudding faces tough conditions in Race 6's opening quaddie leg, but recent bad luck could mean value at $12 odds. Despite consistent career form, the horse has struggled with positioning problems.</p>
<p>Recent runs show Pudding hitting brick walls and running out of room when needing clear air. The clock tower incident at $180 out highlighted these issues - shut down and unable to build momentum at crucial moments.</p>
<p>Drawing well at Moonee Valley changes everything though. With barrier advantage and needing just minimal luck, Pudding represents genuine upset potential in what shapes as a complex race to read on paper.</p>
<p>Career statistics demonstrate reliability, suggesting punters might find value backing this consistent performer who's been victim of circumstance rather than poor form.</p>
<p>Smart money recognises when positioning luck has cost a horse multiple chances. At Moonee Valley's unique layout, draw advantages often prove decisive for horses previously caught wide or blocked for runs.</p>
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BETGreat oddsand specials