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Chelsea vs Tottenham Prediction and Betting Odds

Chelsea vs Tottenham

 

Chelsea welcome Tottenham to Stamford Bridge – and expect fouls and fireworks.

This is a London derby that often has a bit of spice and needle between the players and fans.

The two teams both come into this match on the back of Premier League wins, with kickoff on Sunday at 03:30 AEST.

 

Quick Picks

 

Our pick: Chelsea to win

Value bet: Chelsea to lead 1-0 at HT

Long shot: BTTS not hitting

 

Betting Preview

 

Xabi Alonso’s Chelsea return from a successful away trip to Everton, having won 2-0 following a second-half double by Pedro Neto.

That game also ended their long search for a clean sheet, as they had gone 22 games since February without one.

Roberto De Zerbi’s Tottenham started to put an end to their home hoodoo as they recorded a valuable 3-1 win against Coventry City, their first Premier League win of the season.

James Maddison scored on his first start since May 2025, while Dejan Kulusevski returned after 526 days on the sidelines, boosting Spurs’ morale.

Chelsea’s efforts could fall at Morgan Rogers’ feet. He has attempted 2+ shots in each of his last seven Premier League appearances and made 2+ tackles in 7 of his previous 10 games. He has five goal involvements (4 goals and 1 assist) in his 7 EPL games for the Blues.

As for those who might be on the receiving end of some rough treatment, Moisés Caicedo has won 2+ fouls in five of his last six Premier League games and has averaged 1.8 per 90 since the start of last season.

Mike Penders is likely to feature as Chelsea’s goalkeeper, as Emiliano Martinez suffered a fractured jaw in the win at Everton.

For Spurs, former Chelsea graduate Dominic Solanke has conceded 2+ fouls in three of his last four Premier League games and has attempted 2+ shots in each of his previous three appearances.

Lucas Bergvall and Savio are out, while Pedro Porro and Destiny Udogie could return.

 

Betting Markets to Watch

 

Tottenham’s poor record against Chelsea at Stamford Bridge will always go against them. The Blues are big favourites, as they’ve won their last six EPL matches against them.

Historically, Spurs have won just once at Stamford Bridge in their last 36 visits years (April 2018), having gone on a 30-game winless run before it. Since then, they are winless in the last 10.

The 'Over 2.5 Goals' market has hit in eight of Chelsea's last nine EPL matches, suggesting value; although it has hit just twice in the last five H2Hs.

Joao Pedro has scored at least one goal in eight of his last nine appearances in EPL matches with Chelsea as a home favourite, suggesting he has value as an anytime goalscorer.

Andy Robertson has recorded an assist in each of his last two EPL appearances, so he has value in the to score or assist market.

Chelsea to lead 1-0 at HT has additional value. Tottenham have trailed 1-0 at half-time in three of their last four EPL matches at Stamford Bridge.

 

Our Prediction

 

Check the latest Chelsea vs Tottenham betting odds at Sportsbet.

Our prediction is for a Chelsea win.

The long shot is the BTTS not hitting; while Chelsea have had trouble keeping clean sheets, Spurs have failed to score in two of the last three meetings at Stamford Bridge.

It’s a game that the Blues get up for almost more than any other, but the doubts remain over an inexperienced goalkeeper and leaky defence.

Chelsea
Draw
Tottenham

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