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Tyson Fury vs Mariusz Wach Prediction and Betting Odds

21/07/2026|SB Staff|Boxing Tips & Predictions
Fury vs Wach

 

With a potential fight against Anthony Joshua still on the cards, Tyson Fury will take on Mariusz Wach as he continues his preparations after making another return to boxing.

The Gypsy King will clash with Wiking in Pattaya, Thailand, with the two heavyweights scheduled to fight on Friday, July 24, with the card starting at 20:00 AEST.

 

Quick Picks

 

Our pick: Fury to win

Value bet: Fury by decision

Long shot: Fight to go the distance

 

Tale of the Tape

 

Tyson Fury is likely to approach this as a controlled, showcase performance, while Mariusz Wach’s best path is to drag him into a slower, more physical fight and test his discipline.

Fury can come out behind a busy jab, using feints, footwork and upper‑body movement to immediately establish distance and rhythm, keeping Wach from ever setting his feet.

Wach’s most realistic approach is to accept he’ll lose the pure boxing match at range and instead try to slow the pace, walk Fury down behind a high guard and heavy jab, and force more static exchanges.

Fury’s statistics are first:

 

  • Age - 37 vs 46
  • Height - 6'9" (206cm) vs 6'7" (202cm)
  • Stance - Orthodox vs Orthodox
  • Record - 35-2-1 vs 39-13-0
  • KO Record - 24 vs 20

 

Betting Preview

 

How have they performed in their last fights?

Fury's last five fights:

 

  • Arslanbek Makhmudov - Win (UD, 12) - Apr 2026
  • Oleksandr Usyk - Loss (UD, 12) - Dec 2024
  • Oleksandr Usyk - Loss (SD, 12) - May 2024
  • Francis Ngannou - Win (SD, 10) - Oct 2023
  • Derek Chisora - Win (TKO, 10) - Dec 2022

 

Wach's last five fights:

 

  • Kamil Bielecki - Win (TKO, 1) - Apr 2026
  • Viktor Vykhryst - Loss (UD, 10) - Mar 2026
  • Piotr Ćwik - Win (Points, 6) - Sep 2025
  • Kacper Meyna - Loss (UD, 10) - Apr 2025
  • Moses Itauma - Loss (TKO, 2) - Jul 2024

 

Betting Markets to Watch

 

Fury is considered the overwhelming favourite in the moneyline odds, leaving very little value in this market. The ‘ method of victory’ market is likely to have better value worth exploring if you think the Englishman is to win in Thailand.

However, this is where it could be interesting. The Gypsy King will be expected by many to record a KO/TKO victory, but there may be better value in a decision win.

Although Wach’s age could come into play and his slower legs, Fury wasn’t that impressive against Makhmudov in his last fight. He coasted to victory in that one but didn’t look to finish it; a similar story could play out here, especially since it's only a 10-round fight.

 

Our Prediction

 

Check the latest Fury vs Wach betting odds at Sportsbet.

Our prediction is that Fury will be the likely winner , with the additional value being in a decision victory . As described above, it’s not expected, but it could happen.

As a result, our long shot is for this fight to go the distance . It doesn’t seem likely, given the tale of the tape, but this fight could be another that Fury uses as an exhibition as he looks ahead to the future.

Tyson Fury
Draw
Mariusz Wach

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