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Tim Tszyu vs Errol Spence Jr Prediction

21/07/2026|SB Staff|Boxing Tips & Predictions

All of Australia and nearly everyone in the boxing world will be zeroing in on this middleweight matchup for the ages.

In what is being heralded as one of the biggest fights ever to take place Down Under, former unified welterweight world champion and one of the finest boxers of his generation Errol Spence Jr will take on the pride of Australian boxing Tim Tszyu.

A fascinating tactical matchup, Spence is set to step into the ring as the market favourite, but Tszyu’s hunger, family legacy, and relentless pressure style make this one of the most compelling scraps on the calendar.

Spence Jr enters with the pedigree of a former unified champion and southpaw slickness that has troubled every opponent he’s faced. 

Tszyu, meanwhile, has built his reputation on grit and volume, walking down opponents until they crack. 

With both men possessing a healthy amount of dynamite in their gloves we expect fireworks the moment the bell rings, but who will have their hand raised come the end of the 12th? If it even gets that far..

For all the latest expert analysis, news and betting tips, including where to watch this blockbuster battle, check out our Tim Tszyu vs Errol Spence Jr prediction below!

 

Tim Tszyu vs Errol Spence Jr Predictions

 

Match Betting Prediction

Looking at the H2H markets, it’s no shock to see Errol Spence Jr installed as the 1.77 favourite over Tim Tszyu at 2.10. The gap is tight, and rightfully so.

Spence Jr’s southpaw jab, ring IQ and championship experience at the elite level give him the tactical edge. 

When healthy, he’s one of the most technically complete operators in the sport. However, the question marks around his layoff and physical condition post-injury can’t be ignored, and that’s exactly why Tszyu is priced so competitively.

Tszyu has been ticking along nicely, throwing heavy leather and stopping opponents who dare to trade with him. 

His pressure game is tailor-made to test any fighter carrying rust. If Spence isn’t 100 per cent sharp, the Aussie has the tools to drag him into deep, uncomfortable waters.

Always eager to extract value and back homegrown talent, we’re tipping Tszyu to record a result that will mirror other legendary Aussie boxing moments such as Jeff Horn’s upset win over Manny Pacquiao.

Betting tip: Tim Tszyu. 

 

Method of Victory Prediction 

With Spence Jr KO/TKO/DQ priced at 2.35 and Tszyu KO/TKO/DQ at 3.50, the market is leaning toward a stoppage finish. 

Spence’s ability to break opponents down over the middle rounds is well documented, and Tszyu’s tendency to walk forward and eat clean shots could play right into his hands.

However, Tszyu to win on points/by decision at 6.50 look longer than it should and if Tszyu is to outlast Spence, it’ll be in a marathon, not a sprint. 

Betting tip: Tim Tszyu via points/decision

 

Will the Fight Go the Distance Prediction

The over/under market on the fight going the distance sits at Yes 2.45 and No 1.52. That reflects the expectation that one of these two will be on the canvas before the final bell.

Both fighters carry serious pop, and neither is renowned for a defensively cagey style, however this is no barroom brawl. The significance of this scrap will not be lost on Tszyu, so we are expecting him to cover up a lot more than usual and amass points through calculated, technically proficient boxing built off a strong defence and counter strategy. 

If he does manage to execute a plan along those lines, there’s value to be had in backing this one to go the full 12. 

Betting tip: Will the fight go the distance – yes

 

*Odds are subject to change

 

Tim Tszyu vs Errol Spence Jr Full Fight Card

 

Errol Spence Jr. vs. Tim Tszyu (Middleweight)

Stephen Fulton vs. Liam Wilson (Super-featherweight)

Ahmad Reda vs. Paul Fleming (Lightweight)

Ivan Actis vs. Callum Peters (Middleweight)

 

How to Watch Tim Tszyu vs Errol Spence Jr in Australia 

 

For all fight fans Down Under looking to tune into this middleweight match up, this is how to watch Tim Tszyu vs Errol Spence Jr in Australia.

Unsurprisingly, this is a pay-per-view event with Kayo Sports and Foxtel securing the rights for this one. 

 

Tim Tszyu vs Errol Spence Jr Time and Date 

 

Date: Sunday, July 26, 2026. 

Start time: 11:00am AEST. 

Location: Afterpay Arena, Sydney. 

Where to watch: Kayo Sports and Foxtel. 

 

Tim Tszyu vs Errol Spence Jr Odds 

Errol Spence Jr
Draw
Tim Tszyu

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