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Perez vs Montoya Prediction and Betting Odds

02/04/2026|SB Staff|Boxing Tips & Predictions
Perez vs Montoya

The fight is scheduled to take place in Pennsylvania, on Saturday, April 4, with the card getting underway from 11:00 AEDT.

It is the headliner of the BoxFest XVII event, with nine fights set to take place.

 

Quick Picks

Our pick: Perez to win

Value bet: Perez to win by Decision

Long shot: Montoya to win by TKO/KO if fight in his favour

 

Tale of the Tape

Perez is more of a volume, body-head, step-forward boxer who probably wants to outwork, control distance, and avoid standing in exchanges.

He boxes safely, wins rounds, and has moderate power but not a typical "one-punch" finisher.

However, he has only fought once per year recently, which suggests a controlled, developmental build-up rather than a brawler.

Montoya carries real one-shot power at lightweight, boasting 14 KOs in his career.

He will likely look to land the big counter right or overhand left, especially if Perez crowds; he's dangerous whenever he can time counters or catch a tired opponent.

Perez's figures are first below:

  • Age - 24 vs 31
  • Height - 5'6" (168cm) vs 5'6" (169cm)
  • Stance - Orthodox vs Orthodox
  • Record - 11-0-0 vs 23-7-1
  • KO Record - 5 vs 14

 

Betting Preview

How have they performed in their last five fights?

Perez's last five fights:

  • Alex Martin - Win (UD, 8) - Jun 2025
  • Antonio Williams - Win (UD, 10) - Jun 2024
  • Haskell Rhodes - Win (UD, 10) - Dec 2023
  • Nigel Fennell - Win (UD, 8) - Jun 2023
  • Tyrone Luckey - Win (TKO, 2) - Mar 2023 

Montoya's last five fights:

  • Tsendbaatar Erdenebat - Loss (UD, 10) - Nov 2025
  • Joseph Diaz - Win (SD, 10) - Nov 2024
  • Marc Castro - Loss (UD, 10) - Apr 2024
  • Jesus Arevalo - Win (DQ, 2) - Oct 2023
  • Ivan Basurto - Win (UD, 6) - Jul 2022

 

Betting Markets to Watch

The value worth exploring is in the decision market for this one, with it likely being a Perez win.

The undefeated boxer has been able to control fights and uses a strategy that will allow him to avoid several exchanges.

He's excellent at keeping a safe distance and overworking his opponents.

Montoya is worth some value in the KO/TKO market, though.

He packs the power in his punches that can cause Perez trouble, especially if he doesn't start the bout in the way he should and gets caught.

Montoya's wins often come as a stoppage, and he's shown he can be dangerous with just one punch.

 

Our Prediction

Check the latest Perez vs Montoya boxing betting odds at Sportsbet.

We think the most likely outcome is for Perez to continue his undefeated streak. He is excellent in the ring and is likely to control the match from the beginning.

We think a decision is the most likely method of victory, but Montoya is worth watching if the fight swings in his momentum.

For more insights, check out our guide to betting on boxing and explore our latest boxing predictions.

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