Pagan may feel he'll have an advantage in this fight, as the undefeated boxer will be taking on the man from Nicaragua on home soil, as he fights out of Grand Rapids, Michigan.
Still, Jimenez is a dangerous customer and someone that he'll need to make sure he respects when in the ring if he is to emerge victorious.
Read on for our Pagan vs Jimenez betting prediction…
Quick Picks
Our pick: Pagan to win
Value bet: Fight to go the distance
Long shot: Pagan to win by TKO
Tale of the Tape
It's the unbeaten record of Pagan that makes this fight hugely compelling for bettors, as there is potential value available in this title bout. While both fight out of an orthodox style, Pagan works his opponents well, while Jimenez packs plenty of power in his punches.
Our comparison below could help you identify potential betting angles to consider for value, starting with Pagan's figures:
- Age - 26 vs 28
- Height - 5'10" (178cm) vs 5'8" (173cm)
- Stance - Orthodox vs Orthodox
- Record - 14-0-0 vs 18-2-0
- KO Record - 5 vs 10
Betting Preview
How have they performed in their last five fights?
Pagan's last five fights:
- Maliek Montgomery - Win (TKO, 9) - Oct 2025
- James Bernadin - Win (UD, 10) - Jun 2025
- Ronal Ron - Win (UD, 8) - Feb 2025
- Haskell Rhodes - Win (UD, 10) - Oct 2024
- Roger Hilley - Win (UD, 8) - May 2024
Jimenez's last five fights:
- Israel Lopez - Win (UD, 10) - Nov 2025
- Shamar Canal - Loss (UD, 10) - Jul 2025
- Jenel Lausa - Win (UD, 6) - Sep 2024
- Lester Brown - Win (TKO, 2) - Jun 2024
- Diuhl Olguin - Win (UD, 6) - Mar 2024
Betting Markets to Watch
So, where's the betting value and what markets could be worth watching ahead and during this fight? If you're new to boxing betting, understanding the different markets available can help you find the best opportunities.
The fight to go the distance is where we think the most value lies in this one. Both fighters tend to need the allotted number of rounds to obtain victory, despite their abilities to record KOs. Both men have had four fights of their last five go the full distance, albeit some of them have been shorter than the 10 rounds scheduled for Wednesday.
If we're looking for a long shot, a win by TKO/KO for Pagan could offer some alternative value. Pagan won his last fight by this method, although he left it late. One of Jimenez's two defeats have come by TKO/KO, when he was beaten in the 10th round by Santos Reyes back in July 2022. The quickest boxing knockouts in history show just how quickly fights can end when power punchers connect.
Our Prediction
Check the latest Pagan vs Jimenez betting odds at Sportsbet.
With Pagan the big favourite to win in the odds available, we think it is likely that he will win and be crowned the new WBO NABO Lightweight champion.
As highlighted, we believe the value in this fight lies in the contest going the distance. This lightweight clash should be a tactical affair, with both fighters competing in one of boxing's most exciting weight divisions.