Next to Jump

Anthony Joshua vs Kristian Prenga Prediction

23/07/2026|SB Staff|Boxing Tips & Predictions
Anthony Joshua vs Kristian Prenga Prediction

 

Being billed as ‘The Comeback’, Anthony Joshua will step inside the boxing ring for the first time in six months following his win over Jake Paul to face Kristian Prenga.

The fight will take place in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, on Sunday, July 26, with the card starting around 02:00 AEST.

 

Quick Picks

 

Our pick: Joshua to win

Value bet: AJ by KO/TKO

Long shot: AJ To Win the Fight in Round 5 - 6

 

Tale of the Tape

 

Joshua arguably comes in as the more complete, textbook heavyweight: tall, long, orthodox, with a structured high guard and a strong, educated jab that underpins most of his work.

Still, Prenga is dangerous. His entire strategy is built around power, with his 20 wins all inside the distance. He’s comfortable making fights scrappy, and he carries that old‑school “club fighter” physicality that can unsettle a more polished opponent if the ref lets it go.

Each man will aim to exploit the vulnerabilities that both have shown; AJ has become more risk-averse after defeats, while Prenga has slow footwork and a narrow stance that has a loose defence, while frequently marching forward with his lead hand low or extended.

Joshua’s statistics are first:

 

  • Age - 36 vs 35
  • Height - 6'6" (198cm) vs 6'5" (196cm)
  • Stance - Orthodox vs Orthodox
  • Record - 29-4-0 vs 20-1-0
  • KO Record - 26 vs 20

 

Betting Preview

How have they performed in their last fights?

Joshua's last five fights:

 

  • Jake Paul - Win (TKO, 6) - Dec 2025
  • Daniel Dubois - Loss (TKO, 5) - Sep 2024
  • Francis Ngannou - Win (TKO, 2) - Mar 2024
  • Otto Wallin - Win (TKO, 5) - Dec 2023
  • Robert Helenius - Win (TKO, 7) - Aug 2023

 

Prenga's last five fights:

 

  • Joe Jones - Win (TKO, 1) - Feb 2026
  • Brandon Carmack - Win (TKO, 1) - Dec 2025
  • Willie Jake Jr. - Win (TKO, 1) - Apr 2025
  • Juan Torres - Win (TKO, 2) - Jan 2025
  • Joey Dawejko - Win (TKO, 5) - Oct 2024

 

Betting Markets to Watch

 

AJ is considered the big favourite in the pre-fight moneyline odds, despite Prenga winning his last 14 and all 20 by stoppage; still, it’s the biggest fight he’s ever had. There isn’t a lot of value here if you agree with this outcome, which is why it’s better to explore elsewhere.

A KO/TKO stoppage does look the most likely , with both fighters having used power to their advantage.

AJ will want to prove a point ahead of a likely bout against Tyson Fury in the future, while he’ll want to silence his critics after the Jake Paul fight, where many felt he should have won earlier in the contest.

 

Our Prediction

 

We think Joshua is the most likely to win , with a KO/TKO victory offering the best value.

Our long shot is in the ‘Anthony Joshua To Win the Fight in Round 5 - 6’ market; while he is capable of achieving an earlier stoppage, he has shown he can take his time and feel out his opponent, while Prenga has never been stopped.

Anthony Joshua
Draw
Kristian Prenga

Relevant Articles

Edgar Berlanga vs Steven Butler Prediction

Berlanga and Butler headline Zuffa Boxing 9 at MSG. Here is our full breakdown of the tale of the tape and best betting value.

How to Watch Tim Tszyu vs Errol Spence Jr in Australia

For everyone in Australia Tim Tszyu’s fight against Errol Spence Jr gets underway on Sunday July 26. Here’s how and where to Tszyu vs Spence Jr in Australia, including start times as well as the full card.

Tszyu Headlines Historic Australia vs America Showdown

Afterpay Arena will host the biggest night in Australian boxing history on July 26, with Tim Tszyu facing Errol Spence Jr at the top of a four-fight Australia vs USA card worth $15 million.
1
JOINOnly takes3 minutes
2
DEPOSITIt's safe andsecure
3
BETGreat oddsand specials
Must be
BetStop - the National Self-Exclusion Register™ is a free service provided by the Australian Government that allows people to self-exclude from all licensed Australian online and phone wagering providers in a single process. Registering is quick and easy and can be done at www.betstop.gov.au.
While you are registered, Australian licensed online and phone wagering providers must not open a wagering account for you, allow you to place bets, or send you marketing material.
Licensed and regulated by the Northern Territory Racing and Wagering Commission.
Copyright © Sportsbet Pty Ltd.