Moses Itauma vs Filip Hrgović Prediction and Betting Odds
SB Staff|27/08/2026|Boxing Tips & Predictions
Moses Itauma and Filip Hrgović will battle each other in London for the vacant IBF World Heavyweight title.
The two will clash in the British capital at The O2 as the headliner of the upcoming card. Scheduled for Sunday, August 30, the card gets underway at 01:00 AEST, with this fight’s ring walks expected around 07:30 AEST – and it’s shaping up to be one not to miss…
Quick Picks
Our pick: Itauma to win by KO/TKO
Value bet: Itauma To Win the Fight in Round 7 or 8
Long shot: Itauma To Win the Fight in Round 4
Tale of the Tape
A traditional 12 three-minute round fight has been scheduled for this fight, with Itauma coming in as the home fan favourite and undefeated in his professional career.
Hrgović, meanwhile, is significantly older and has a defeat to his name against another British heavyweight in Daniel Dubois.
Itauma brings speed, angles, and pure finishing power, while Hrgović brings a major experience edge, a long, controlling jab, and a proven ability to make fights physical.
It’s arguably the biggest challenge to date in Itauma’s short career. But he’s already swatted 14 opponents away so far, including Dillian Whyte in the first round, beating 12 by way of knockout.
That first-round demolition of Whyte is a reminder of how quickly he can end a night, and for context on the kind of finishes that rewrite history, take a look at the fastest KOs in boxing.
And should he win, which is expected, Itauma will become the youngest World Heavyweight champion since Mike Tyson.
Itauma’s statistics are first:
- Age - 21 vs 34
- Height - 6'4" (194cm) vs 6'6" (198cm)
- Stance - Southpaw vs Orthodox
- Record - 14-0-0 vs 20-1-0
- KO Record - 12 vs 15
Betting Preview
How have they performed in their last fights?
Itauma's last five fights:
- Jermaine Franklin - Win (TKO, 5) - Mar 2026
- Dillian Whyte - Win (TKO, 1) - Aug 2025
- Mike Balogun - Win (TKO, 2) - May 2025
- Demsey McKean - Win (TKO, 1) - Dec 2024
- Mariusz Wach - Win (TKO, 2) - Jul 2024
Hrgović's last five fights:
- Dave Allen - Win (TKO, 3) - May 2026
- David Adeleye - Win (UD, 10) - Aug 2025
- Joe Joyce - Win (UD, 10) - Apr 2025
- Daniel Dubois - Loss (TKO, 8) - Jun 2024
- Mark De Mori - Win (TKO, 1) - Dec 2023
Betting Markets to Watch
There’s very little value in the moneyline if you think the Brit will win , and not much more value is available in the method of victory market either. Itauma’s odds suggest he will win by stoppage, recording a KO/TKO .
Better value will be in the ‘ Alternative Group Round Betting 2 ’, where punters can get a price across two rounds instead of one. We think there’s value in the ‘Moses Itauma To Win the Fight in Round 7 or 8’ market, despite winning most of his fights early on.
He could give away early rounds while reading the jab, then begin landing the left hand and body shots more regularly, then overwhelm big Croat Hrgović during a sustained exchange in these rounds.
Our Prediction
Check the latest Itauma vs Hrgović betting odds. Our prediction is a likely Itauma win by KO/TKO.
As a long shot, we think the value is in ‘ Moses Itauma To Win the Fight in Round 4 ’. While this fight will probably be Itauma’s toughest yet, he’s not shy in going big quickly – as Whyte found out. And with Itauma already claiming he’s wound up by Hrgovic’s pre-fight chatter, he might want to make an early point on home soil.
If you like the look of these picks, you can bet on boxing ahead of the ring walks at The O2.


