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Naoya Inoue vs David Picasso Betting Predictions

26/12/2025|SB Staff|Boxing Tips & Predictions
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Naoya Inoue vs David Picasso promises to be a blockbuster of a fight when the two step inside the ring.

They will meet on the Ring V: Night of the Samurai card, which will take place in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. The event is scheduled for Saturday, December 27, with the first of five fights getting underway at 20:00 AEDT.

This upcoming bout is the headline fight, as it will see Inoue defend his Undisputed Super Bantamweight Title. Both men enter the bout with more also on the line from a personal standpoint: neither of them has been defeated inside the ring.

Who will win this one? Check out what our boxing betting experts think will happen with our Naoya Inoue vs David Picasso betting predictions below…

Naoya Inoue vs David Picasso: Tale of the Tape

With both men undefeated, the tale of the tape is a good place to begin this Naoya Inoue vs David Picasso preview. Are there any areas that can be considered when looking for betting value?

Inoue’s fight figures appear first…

  • Age - 32 vs 25
  • Height - 5'5" (165cm) vs 5'8" (173cm)
  • Weight - 121.7lbs (55.2kgs) vs 125.8lbs (57.1kgs)
  • Stance - Orthodox vs Orthodox
  • Record - 31-0-0 vs 32-0-1

Naoya Inoue vs David Picasso: Betting Preview

It’s possible to suggest that the comparison above doesn’t offer much in terms of potential angles to consider. The pair look evenly matched, which is why there is so much hype around this fight.

So, what about their recent fight records? Is there anything here that can highlight anything that we should be considering when placing bets on the Naoya Inoue vs David Picasso fight?  

Inoue’s last five fights:

  • Murodjon Akhmadaliev - Win (UD, 12) - Sep 2025
  • Ramon Cardenas - Win (TKO, 8) - May 2025
  • Ye Joon Kim - Win (TKO, 4) - Jan 2025
  • TJ Doheny - Win (TKO, 7) - Sep 2024
  • Luis Nery - Win (TKO, 6) - May 2024

 

Picasso’s last five fights:

  • Kyonosuke Kameda - Win (MD, 10) - Jul 2025
  • Yehison Cuello - Win (TKO, 3) - Dec 2024
  • Diego Alberto Ruiz - Win (UD, 8) - Oct 2024
  • Azat Hovhannisyan - Win (UD, 12) - Aug 2024
  • Damien Vazquez - Win (TKO, 5) - May 2024

Naoya Inoue vs David Picasso: Betting Predictions

The latest Naoya Inoue vs David Picasso betting odds at Sportsbet have Inoue as the huge favourite. The odds offered suggest Picasso doesn’t stand a chance.

Indeed, it’s an opinion we share, as we predict Inoue will reign victorious and retain his Undisputed Super Bantamweight Title.

In search of value, we think adding the ‘Naoya Inoue KO/TKO’ outcome in the ‘Method of Victory’ market could maximise what is received, as could backing the ‘Naoya Inoue To Win the Fight in Round 5-6’ market. A TKO/KO looks likely based on recent performances, with the middle rounds being the time he steps up.

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