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Wardley vs Dubois Prediction and Betting Odds

07/05/2026|SB Staff|Boxing Tips & Predictions
wardley vs dubois

The fight will take place on Sunday, May 10, with the card beginning at 03:30 AEDT for Australian viewers. This is the headline bout of an 11-fight card, titled "Don't Blink".

 

Quick Picks

 

  • Our pick: Wardley to win
  • Value bet: Wardley to win by TKO/KO
  • Long shot: Fight to go the distance  

 

Tale of the Tape

All the evidence suggests this could be a fight that's all about who can land the fatal blow first. Both carry 90%+ KO ratios, and only one decision win each, so the fight is widely expected to be short, explosive, and very dangerous.

Both fighters are orthodox, so this is a classic British-style heavyweight slug-fest. Wardley will look to crouch, walk forward, and mug Dubois into wars. Dubois, meanwhile, wants distance, angles, and straight counters rather than a brawl.

 

Here's how the two compare with Wardley's figures first:

 

• Age - 31 vs 28

• Height - 6'5" (196cm) vs 6'5" (196cm)

• Stance - Orthodox vs Orthodox

• Record - 20-0-1 vs 22-3-0

• KO Record - 19 vs 21

 

Betting Preview

How have they performed in their last five fights?

 

Wardley's last five fights:

 

• Joseph Parker - Win (TKO, 11) - Oct 2025

• Justis Huni - Win (TKO, 10) - Jun 2025

• Frazer Clarke - Win (TKO, 1) - Oct 2024

• Frazer Clarke - Draw (SD, 12) - Mar 2024

• David Adeleye - Win (TKO, 7) - Oct 2023

 

Dubois's last five fights:

 

• Oleksandr Usyk - Loss (TKO, 5) - Jul 2025

• Anthony Joshua - Win (TKO, 5) - Sep 2024

• Filip Hrgovic - Win (TKO, 8) - Jun 2024

• Jarrell Miller - Win (TKO, 10) - Dec 2023

• Oleksandr Usyk - Loss (TKO, 9) - Aug 2023

 

Betting Markets to Watch

While many believe this fight is Wardley's for the taking, Dubois is dangerous, and take a look at the last five fighters he has faced. There's strong talk coming from his camp, too.

Value can be found beyond the moneyline. The fight not going the distance offers slightly better value if you cannot commit to a fighter winning, given that only two of 43 combined wins came by decision. A KO finish is likely given their KO rates, but it will come down to which man is able to land his fatal blow first.

We think there's going to be more value on offer in round-specific markets for this fight because of how close it appears on paper. The odds offered for 'Fabio Wardley To Win the Fight in Round 5-6' has value, as he often loves to drag guys into wars, taking damage before finishing them.

 

Our Prediction

Check the latest Wardley vs Dubois betting odds at Sportsbet.

Our prediction is that Wardley likely wins the fight, with a TKO/KO finish the likely method of victory. Dubois has lost by this method in each of his three defeats, while Wardley has won all but one of his by stoppage. If you're new to boxing betting, understanding the different methods of victory can help you find value in these markets.

Our long shot is for the fight to go the distance, as both can slug it out with each other, but there'll be questions about how many hard hits each can withstand. Both fighters compete in the heavyweight division, where knockouts are more common than in lighter weight classes.

For more boxing predictions and the latest boxing betting odds, check out what's available at Sportsbet.

Betting Suspended

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1
JOINOnly takes3 minutes
2
DEPOSITIt's safe andsecure
3
BETGreat oddsand specials
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