Alex de Minaur vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction
27/01/2026|SB Staff|Australian Open 2026 Tips & Predictions
<p><a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/betting/tennis/mens-australian-open/men-s-australian-open-winner-2026-8896398">The 2026 Australian Open</a> is heating up both literally and figuratively as we enter the second week of the competition.</p>
<p>It’s quarterfinals time and the last Aussie standing, Alex de Minaur, faces a monumental challenge against Spain’s world number one, Carlos Alcaraz.</p>
<p>With the mercury set to soar into the 40s in Melbourne and the Rod Laver Arena roof likely to be closed, the stage is set for a pressure cooker of an encounter between two of the game’s most relentless competitors.</p>
<p>Carlos Alcaraz enters this quarterfinal without dropping a set all tournament, continuing a dominant run that’s left opponents feeling “suffocated” by his pace and pressure.</p>
<p>Meanwhile, Alex de Minaur, buoyed by a career-best run at Melbourne Park, has lost just one set en route to his second consecutive AO quarterfinal, dispatching big names like Alexander Bublik with clinical efficiency.</p>
<p>However, that’s where the good news stops for the Demon. His head-to-head record against the current world no.1 is beyond daunting, with Alcaraz up 5-0 on the cards, although this will be their first meeting at Grand Slam level.</p>
<p>Extreme heat could and should play a role, but both players are unfazed by the prospect of indoor conditions, focusing instead on bringing their best tennis to the court.</p>
<p>Who will melt in the sweltering conditions and who will sizzle into the semis? For all the latest betting tips and analysis, check out our Alex de Minaur vs Carlos Alcaraz preview and prediction below.</p>
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<h2>De Minaur vs Alcaraz Betting Tips</h2>
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<h3>Match Betting</h3>
<p>Carlos Alcaraz is the clear favourite in the head-to-head market, and for good reason.</p>
<p>The Spaniard’s aggressive, high-octane game has overwhelmed every opponent in Melbourne so far, with Tommy Paul describing the experience as being given “no time” to breathe or respond.</p>
<p>Alcaraz’s form is near-flawless; he’s yet to drop a set and has tightened up any previous lapses in concentration that might have given opponents a foothold.</p>
<p>De Minaur, however, is playing the best tennis of his career, exhibiting newfound self-belief and remarkable consistency.</p>
<p>His demolition of Bublik in the fourth round showcased his relentless retrieving and improved attacking play. Yet, the gulf in class and the psychological hurdle of a 0-5 record against Alcaraz can’t be ignored.</p>
<p>With Alcaraz’s level and ability to dictate terms, the odds are rightly stacked in his favour.</p>
<p>However, De Minaur’s current form makes him a worthy challenger, and the tide has to turn eventually, right? If there was ever a time for it to do just that, surely, it’s at Alex’s home slam, while he’s playing the best tennis of his life. Demon to triumph in an all-time epic? We’re down.</p>
<p><strong>Betting tip:</strong> <a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/betting/tennis/mens-australian-open/carlos-alcaraz-v-alex-de-minaur-10084423">Alex de Minuar.</a></p>
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<h3>Set Betting</h3>
<p>While Alcaraz’s straight-sets dominance has been a theme, de Minaur’s current level suggests he won’t be going quietly, or at all for that matter. Especially in front of a home crowd.</p>
<p>The Aussie’s grit and defensive skills should allow him to push Alcaraz, and snatch sets if he can ride a wave of momentum or capitalise on a brief lapse from the top seed.</p>
<p>Alcaraz’s ability to reset and reassert control after adversity is well established, so if the Demon does want to make it to his first ever Australian Open semi, he’ll surely have to do it in five.</p>
<p><strong>Betting tip:</strong> <a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/betting/tennis/mens-australian-open/carlos-alcaraz-v-alex-de-minaur-10084423">Alex de Minuar – 3-2.</a></p>
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<h3>Total Match Games</h3>
<p>With the line set at 35.5 games, a predicted 3-2 result should see the total edge over this watermark.</p>
<p>Both players relentless defence and shared content to play all night, if need be, should see this one getting dragged into marathon territory.</p>
<p><strong>Betting tip:</strong> <a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/betting/tennis/mens-australian-open/carlos-alcaraz-v-alex-de-minaur-10084423">Over total match games.</a></p>
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<h2>Where to Watch the Alex de Minaur vs Carlos Alcaraz Australian Open Match?</h2>
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<p>For those in Australia, you can watch the 2025 Men’s Australian Open Quarterfinal between Alex de Minaur and Carlos Alcaraz on the Nine Network.</p>
<p>Available on both free-to-air on Channel 9, and 9Gem, you can also watch the match online on 9Now. Alternatively, you can stream the Men’s AO Quarterfinal on streaming service Stan Sport.</p>
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<h2>Alex de Minaur vs Carlos Alcaraz Match Details </h2>
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<p><strong>Date:</strong> Tuesday, January 27, 2026.</p>
<p><strong>Time:</strong> 8:10pm AEDT.</p>
<p><strong>Location:</strong> Rod Laver Arena, Melbourne Park.</p>
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