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Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev Prediction

28/01/2026|SB Staff|Australian Open 2026 Tips & Predictions
<p>Then there were four. The <a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/betting/tennis/mens-australian-open/to-reach-the-final-9910576">2026 Australian Open Men’s first semi-final</a> is a blockbuster showdown between World No.1 Carlos Alcaraz and World No.3 Alexander Zverev.</p> <p>Both players have stormed through the draw, setting up a highly anticipated clash with a spot in the final on the line. But who will be moving on to the big one?</p> <p>The case for Alcaraz is the same as it’s always been. The Spaniard has looked beyond sharp at the 2026 AO, dispatching the likes of Alex de Minaur and Tommy Paul without dropping a set since the third round.</p> <p>His aggressive baseline play and ability to press inside the court have been hallmarks of his campaign. Alcaraz’s use of forehand drop shots and net play has been particularly effective at breaking up opponents’ rhythm.</p> <p>As for Zverev, he has showcased his trademark power serving and resilience, grinding through a tough quarter-final and absorbing pressure from heavy hitters. His deep court positioning and first-serve dominance have earned him free points and helped him navigate some tricky four-set encounters.</p> <p>Now that we’ve analysed their individual journeys, how do these two match up? Well, somewhat surprisingly, Zverev has the edge in recent head-to-heads, including wins at the ATP World Tour Finals and the French Open.</p> <p>However, Alcaraz’s form on hard courts and his top ranking make this a true 50-50 battle.</p> <p>The Spaniard will look to control points early and stay aggressive in tiebreaks, while Zverev will aim to attack Alcaraz’s second serve and extend rallies to test the Spaniard’s patience.</p> <p>Which style will reign supreme? The unstoppable force or the immovable object? Let’s find out.</p> <p>For all the latest betting tips and analysis ahead of this Aus Open Semi-final, check out our Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev preview and prediction below.</p> <p>&nbsp;</p> <h2>Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev Betting Tips</h2> <p>&nbsp;</p> <h3>Match Betting</h3> <p>When assessing the H2H odds, we see that Alcaraz enters as the favourite, thanks to his world No.1 ranking and clinical form at Melbourne Park.</p> <p>He’s yet to be seriously troubled, and his aggressive style has paid dividends throughout the tournament thus far.</p> <p>Yet, Zverev’s recent wins over Alcaraz, particularly in high stakes matches, shouldn’t be underestimated. The German has faced a tougher path, including a gruelling quarter-final, but his serve and ability to absorb pressure give him a fighting chance.</p> <p>Fatigue could be a factor, with Zverev spending more time on court, but he’s proven remarkably resilient. The perceived gap in quality is narrow; Alcaraz’s superior movement and tactical variety may just give him the edge.</p> <p><strong>Betting tip:</strong> <a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/betting/tennis/mens-australian-open/carlos-alcaraz-v-alexander-zverev-10091524">Carlos Alcaraz.</a></p> <p>&nbsp;</p> <h3>Set Betting</h3> <p>Both players have shown the capacity to dominate, but also the resilience to fight through adversity.</p> <p>Zverev’s big serve should help him secure at least one set, especially if he can force tiebreaks or capitalise on early nerves from Alcaraz.</p> <p>However, Alcaraz’s ability to adjust and raise his level when it matters most suggests he’ll take control after a competitive start.</p> <p>Expect Zverev to push hard, but Alcaraz’s relentless aggression and fitness should see him home in four.</p> <p><strong>Betting tip:</strong> <a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/betting/tennis/mens-australian-open/carlos-alcaraz-v-alexander-zverev-10091524">Alcaraz 3-1.</a></p> <p>&nbsp;</p> <h3>Total Match Games</h3> <p>The total games line for this semi-final is set at 35.5. Given the expectation of a four-set battle with at least one tiebreak, the over looks appealing.</p> <p>Both players are capable of holding serve for extended stretches, which should keep sets tight and the games tally rising.</p> <p><strong>Betting tip:</strong> <a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/betting/tennis/mens-australian-open/carlos-alcaraz-v-alexander-zverev-10091524">Over total match games.</a></p> <p>&nbsp;</p> <h2>Where to Watch the Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev Australian Open Match?</h2> <p>&nbsp;</p> <p>For those in Australia, you can watch the 2026 Men’s Australian Open Semi-Final between Carlos Alcaraz and Alexander Zverev on the Nine Network.</p> <p>Available on both free-to-air on Channel 9, and 9Gem, you can also watch the match online on 9Now. Alternatively, you can stream the Men’s AO Semi-Final on streaming service Stan Sport.</p>

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