Australian Open Men’s Final – Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic Prediction
31/01/2026|SB Staff|Australian Open 2026 Tips & Predictions
<p>After two of the greatest semi-finals in grand slam history, the <a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/betting/tennis/mens-australian-open/carlos-alcaraz-v-novak-djokovic-10103695">2026 Australian Open men’s final</a> is set.</p>
<p>One of the most compelling narratives in tennis history is currently loading as 22-year-old Carlos Alcaraz prepares to face 38-year-old Novak Djokovic in a generational clash that will one way or another, rewrite the record books.</p>
<p>Alcaraz's quest to become the youngest man to complete the career Grand Slam adds enormous weight to this final. Having already conquered Wimbledon, Roland Garros and the US Open, the Spanish sensation needs just this Australian Open title to join tennis's most exclusive club.</p>
<p>His semi-final victory over Alexander Zverev showcased remarkable resilience, coming back from 3-5 down in the deciding set during an epic 5hr 27min encounter.</p>
<p>Meanwhile, history also sits on Novak’s doorstep. Djokovic's pursuit of a 25th Grand Slam title would see him surpass Margaret Court's all-time record and become the oldest man to win a major championship, should he taste victory in Sunday’s final for a staggering 11th time.</p>
<p>The Serbian legend turned back the clock with a stunning 3-6 6-3 4-6 6-4 6-4 victory over defending champion Jannik Sinner, demonstrating the champion mentality that has made him synonymous with Australian Open success.</p>
<p>The contrasting paths to the final couldn't be more different. Alcaraz's marathon victory left him physically drained, while Djokovic showed remarkable mental fortitude to overcome multiple break points in the deciding set against Sinner.</p>
<p>The 16-year age gap between these finalists makes this one of the most intriguing Australian Open finals in recent memory. So, who wins from here? Youth or experience? The master or the apprentice? Djokovic or Alcaraz? Let’s find out.</p>
<p>For all the latest betting tips, analysis and odds ahead of the 2026 Australian Open Men’s Final check out our Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic preview and prediction below.</p>
<p> </p>
<h2>Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic Betting Tips</h2>
<p> </p>
<h3>Match Betting</h3>
<p>When examining the head-to-head market for this historic Australian Open final, the betting odds reflect the tight nature of this encounter.</p>
<p>Alcaraz enters as a slight favourite despite his energy-sapping semi-final victory, primarily due to his current world number one ranking and recent dominance on hard courts.</p>
<p>However, Djokovic's extraordinary longevity and unparalleled success at Melbourne Park cannot be overlooked.</p>
<p>The 10-time Australian Open champion has repeatedly proven his ability to produce his finest tennis when the stakes are highest. His semi-final performance against Sinner demonstrated that reports of his decline have been greatly exaggerated.</p>
<p>The physical toll from Alcaraz's marathon encounter with Zverev could prove decisive.</p>
<p>While the Spaniard showed incredible heart to complete his comeback, the 5hr 27min battle may have depleted crucial energy reserves. Djokovic's more efficient path to the final, combined with his legendary ability to manage big occasions, gives him a slight edge.</p>
<p>Djokovic's experience in Grand Slam finals remains unmatched, and his hunger for that record-breaking 25th title provides additional motivation. Back the veteran to capture another Australian Open crown.</p>
<p><strong>Betting tip:</strong> <a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/betting/tennis/mens-australian-open/carlos-alcaraz-v-novak-djokovic-10103695">Novak Djokovic</a>.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3>Set Betting</h3>
<p>Despite Djokovic's match-winning credentials, this final is unlikely to be a one-sided affair. Alcaraz possesses too much quality and fighting spirit to be swept aside, particularly given his ability to raise his level in crucial moments as demonstrated against Zverev.</p>
<p>The physical demands of both semi-finals suggest we could see momentum swings throughout this encounter.</p>
<p>Alcaraz's powerful baseline game and exceptional movement should allow him to take at least one set, potentially early as his energy levels remain high.</p>
<p>However, Djokovic's tactical acumen and experience in managing the later stages of matches should see him gradually assert control. His ability to save break points under pressure, as shown against Sinner, will be crucial in the deciding moments.</p>
<p>Regardless of who wins though, there is no way their opponent is going to go quietly. We can’t see this going anywhere but to a fifth set.</p>
<p><strong>Betting tip:</strong> <a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/betting/tennis/mens-australian-open/carlos-alcaraz-v-novak-djokovic-10103695">Djokovic 3-2.</a></p>
<p> </p>
<h3>Total Match Games</h3>
<p>The total match games line reflects the anticipated competitive nature of this Australian Open final. Given our prediction of a five-set encounter, the match is likely to extend beyond a quick finish and could descend into the marathon durations of their recent semi-finals.</p>
<p>Both players possess the quality to hold serve consistently, while their returning abilities ensure break point opportunities will arise throughout.</p>
<p>The combination of Alcaraz's fighting qualities and Djokovic's resilience points toward a match that reaches the upper end of game totals.</p>
<p><strong>Betting tip:</strong> <a href="https://www.sportsbet.com.au/betting/tennis/mens-australian-open/carlos-alcaraz-v-novak-djokovic-10103695">Over total match games.</a></p>
<p> </p>
<h2>Where to Watch the Australian Open Final?</h2>
<p> </p>
<p>For those in Australia, you can watch the 2026 Men's Australian Open Final between Carlos Alcaraz and Novak Djokovic on the Nine Network.</p>
<p>Available on both free-to-air on Channel 9, and 9Gem, you can also watch the match online on 9Now.</p>
<p>Alternatively, you can stream the Men's AO Final on streaming service Stan Sport.</p>
Relevant Articles
Australian Open Women’s Final: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina Prediction
It’s Sabalenka vs Rybakina in the Australian Open Women’s Final with both players making it this far without dropping a set. Something has to give here, who will become the 2026 AO champion?
How to Bet on the Australian Open
Learn how to bet on the Australian Open with Sportsbet. This handy step-by-step guide will show you how to bet on the 2026 Aus Open as well as the different types of bets you can place.
What is Sportsbet’s Feed: Explore Our Social Sportsbook
Discover what Sportsbet’s The Feed is and how to use it! Get insider tips, live updates, and exclusive content to level up your betting game. Dive in now!
1
JOINOnly takes3 minutes
2
DEPOSITIt's safe andsecure
3
BETGreat oddsand specials


