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Kick On's: Brownlow Over/Under - 5 Key Bets to Watch

17/09/2025|Kick Ons|AFL Tips & Predictions

Market analysis reveals intriguing over/under opportunities for several Brownlow Medal contenders.

Bailey Smith sits at 29.5 votes with strong reasoning for the under - he's never achieved double-figure Brownlow votes previously, and with Patrick Cripps polling heavily, umpire corrections typically follow.

Max Holmes emerges as a potential vote-stealer from Smith, recording seven best-on-ground performances that could push him over his line. Max Gawn faces challenges at 18 votes given his team's seven wins, with Kozzie Pickett likely claiming votes in victories.

Zak Butters presents value as Port Adelaide's leading disposal getter in almost every victory, positioning him for consistent 2s and 3s. Ed Richards represents the wildcard - capable of polling in bunches but potentially a season early for umpire recognition, with votes possibly flowing to teammates like Bontempelli instead.

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