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Melbourne Demons vs Richmond Tigers Prediction - Round 18 2026

10/07/2026|Josh Jenkins|AFL Tips & Predictions

Melbourne and Richmond square off for the second time this season when they meet at the MCG on Sunday afternoon and on current form this one has blowout written all over it.

The Demons claimed the first encounter back in Round 7, running away with a 126-72 win in the annual ANZAC Day Eve clash, with Kysaiah Pickett collecting the Frank "Checker" Hughes Medal thanks to a scintillating 29-disposal, four-goal display capped off by a mark-of-the-year contender.

Since then, the Dees have only gathered momentum. Steven King's side arrive fresh off a statement 125-90 demolition of Hawthorn at UTAS Stadium, a result that snapped the Hawks' 12-match winning streak at the venue and saw the Demons open up a 96-point lead during the third term.

That win keeps Melbourne firmly in the frame for a top-four finish and with the club's finals credentials no longer in question, this looks like the perfect opportunity to keep building depth through the midfield and forward line, potentially even easing Max Gawn's workload with a look at dual ruck options.

Richmond, meanwhile, remain stuck in a rut. The Tigers went down 74-72 to Carlton last Saturday, a result that continues a difficult stretch for a young and injury-hit list still finding its identity under the new coaching set-up.

With the undermanned Tigers defence set to be tested by one of the competition's most potent attacking units, the MCG could be in for a long afternoon for the visitors.

For the latest team news, analysis, and expert insights, check out our Melbourne Demons vs Richmond Tigers Round 18 prediction and preview below.

 

Melbourne Demons vs Richmond Tigers Prediction and Betting Tips

 

Head-to-Head Prediction

Melbourne head into this contest with the foot barely off the gas after last week's ambush of Hawthorn in Tasmania, and that was achieved with plenty in reserve across the second half.

Job done comfortably on the road, and the Demons' place in the 2026 finals picture becomes more certain with every passing week.

Now they return to the 'G to face a struggling Tigers outfit, and if Melbourne approach it the right way, a big scoreline is there for the taking.

This also shapes as another chance for Steven King to rotate through dual rucks and manage Max Gawn's minutes, a luxury afforded to a side that increasingly looks like a genuine top four threat this season.

Richmond, by contrast, come into this clash with their backline stretched thin and a midfield still adjusting to life without several key contributors.

Given the gulf in list depth and current form, the Demons should have too much class, too much run, and too much firepower for the Tigers to handle across four quarters.

Head-to-head prediction: Melbourne Demons by 51 points.

 

First Goal Scorer Prediction

Jacob van Rooyen has been a constant threat inside 50 for the Demons this season, and a Richmond defence missing key personnel gives him every chance to open the scoring early.

Roo the Demons relies on quality supply from Melbourne's midfield and with the Tigers set to be undermanned down back, expect him to make the most of his opportunities in front of the big Sunday crowd.

Betting tip: Jacob van Rooyen.

 

Most Disposals Prediction

Kysaiah Pickett was the difference-maker in the sides' first meeting this year, and we reckon he is set for another big one against a Richmond backline that is short on numbers and confidence.

Pickett's combination of speed, pressure, and scoreboard impact makes him a nightmare match-up for any undermanned defensive unit and the Tigers currently fit that description to a tee.

Expect Kozzy to influence the contest heavily both on the scoreboard and across the stat sheet.

Betting tip: Kysaiah Pickett.

 

Melbourne Demons vs Richmond Tigers Predicted Team Lists

 

Melbourne Demons Predicted Team List

FB: Jake Bowey, Jake Lever, Changkuoth Jiath

HB: Trent Rivers, Daniel Turner, Blake Howes

C: Koltyn Tholstrup, Tom Sparrow, Harry Sharp

HF: Kysaiah Pickett, Kade Chandler, Ed Langdon

FF: Latrelle Pickett, Jacob van Rooyen, Bayley Fritsch

FOLL: Max Gawn, Jack Steele, Harvey Langford

I/C: Caleb Windsor, Bailey Laurie, Matthew Jefferson, Tom McDonald, Harrison Petty

 

Richmond Tigers Predicted Team List

FB: Nathan Broad, Ben Miller, Tom Brown

HB: Nick Vlastuin, Jayden Short, Sam Banks

C: Patrick Retschko, Tim Taranto, James Trezise

HF: Sam Cumming, Seth Campbell, Rhyan Mansell

FF: Noah Balta, Tom Lynch, Jasper Alger

FOLL: Toby Nankervis, Taj Hotton, Dion Prestia

I/C: Mykelti Lefau, Kye Annand, Hugo Ralphsmith, Steely Green, Kane McAuliffe

 

Melbourne Demons vs Richmond Tigers Match Details

 

Date: Sunday, July 12, 2026.

First Bounce: 3:15pm AEST

Location: MCG, Melbourne

How to Watch: Fox Footy/Kayo Sports

Melbourne(-41.5)
Richmond(+41.5)

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