September 2025 feels like a lifetime ago for the Giants, yet the scar of their Elimination Final defeat at home is still fresh.

It wasn't just a loss; it was a reality check. Now, as the new season dawns, the schedule has thrown up the ultimate narrative, a rematch on the very turf where the Giants had their 2025 put to bed. 

But this isn't just a simple case of righting the wrongs of last season, the landscape has shifted dramatically over the off-season. GWS enters this clash battered and bruised, navigating a staggering injury crisis that sees Tom Green, Josh Kelly and Sam Taylor all in doubt. 

Conversely, the Hawthorn Hawks, preliminary finalists a year ago are arguably the most talked about team in the competition, brimming with confidence and eager to prove that their rise wasn't a flash in the pan. 

With ENGIE Stadium set to host a Saturday afternoon classic, the scene is perfectly set for a statement win.

Can the wounded Giants conjure a miracle on home soil, or will the rising Hawks dismantle their depleted hosts?

For the latest team news, analysis, odds, and betting tips, check out our Sydney Swans vs Carlton Blues prediction and preview below. 

GWS Giants vs Hawthorn Hawks Prediction and Betting Tips

Head-to-Head Prediction

With the key GWS injuries this pre-season, almost no one gives them a chance of rolling last season’s prelim finalists. However, the Hawks have had some last-minute hiccups themselves with Cam Mackenzie going down with a head knock and Jai Newcombe’s MRO drama.

Toby Greene has promised to never get suspended again, we’ll believe it when we see it. But, there is no doubting this fiery Giant will be one to watch around the ball for GWS. 

Adam Kingsley has been open about the likelihood his captain would spend more time as an on-baller this season and that was before Tom Green was lost to an ACL.

New Giant Clayton Oliver’s role just got more important after Green’s knee collapsed.

The Hawks might be too sharp for GWS overall but Finn Callaghan, captain Toby and big Jesse Hogan up front will have something to say about all that.

Head-to-head prediction: Hawks by 17 points.

First Goal Scorer Prediction

With the Giants forced to adapt to their personnel shortages, Jesse Hogan will become the focal point of their forward structure. He’s got a radar boot when it comes to finding points and knows how to position himself in traffic.

Expect Hogan to make a statement with an early goal.

Betting tip: Jesse Hogan.

Most Disposals Prediction

Jai Newcombe was an absolute menace in last year's September battle, amassing 32 disposals, 17 contested possessions and 12 clearances. 

With his suspension overturned and a full license to roam the engine room, expect him to dominate the midfield battle for the Hawks and pile up the numbers once again.

Betting tip: Jai Newcombe.

Odds are subject to change.*

GWS Giants vs Hawthorn Hawks Predicted Teams

GWS Giants Predicted Team List

B: Joe Fonti, Jack Buckley, Connor Idun

HB: Lachie Whitfield, Harry Himmelberg, Lachie Ash

C: Harvey Thomas, Stephen Coniglio, Ryan Angwin

HF: Toby Greene, Jesse Hogan, Xavier O'Halloran

F: Jake Stringer, Aaron Cadman, Callum Brown

Foll: Jake Riccardi, Clayton Oliver, Finn Callaghan

I/C: Phoenix Gothard, Harry Rowston, Jayden Laverde, Kieren Briggs, Josaia Delana

Hawthorn Hawks Predicted Team List

B: Blake Hardwick, Tom Barrass, Josh Battle

HB: Karl Amon, James Sicily, Jarman Impey

C: Massimo D'Ambrosio, Josh Ward, Josh Weddle

HF: Dylan Moore, Mitch Lewis, Jack Ginnivan

F: Nick Watson, Mabior Chol, Jack Gunston

Foll: Lloyd Meek, Conor Nash, Connor Macdonald 

I/C: Harry Morrison, Jack Scrimshaw, Finn Maginness, Sam Butler, Bailey Macdonald

GWS Giants vs Hawthorn Hawks Match Details

Date: Saturday, March 7, 2026 

First Bounce: 4:15pm AEDT 

Location: ENGIE Stadium, Sydney

How to watch: Fox Footy/Kayo Sports