The Wolf’s best bet and value bet saluted on Day 10, with Day 11 deciding the remaining Semi Finalists. Expect another masterclass from 2020 Champion Iga Swiatek, while Rafa and Novak should also be too good.
Here are The Wolf’s French Open tips for Day 11.
Iga Swiatek is on track to win back-to-back French Opens, and faces Greek Maria Sakkari in the Quarter Final.
Sakkari has been impressive at Roland Garros, but beating the Pole on the clay is a huge task. Swiatek is 28-3 on clay since 2020 and the way she wins is emphatic.
Swaitek is 12-1 on clay in 2021, with 11 of those wins in straight sets – the only blemish on the record was against Ash Barty in Madrid, with the only other player to take a set against the Pole being another French Open Quarter Finalist Barbora Krejcikova in Rome, which shows how well the Czech is currently going.
At the French Open, Swiatek has now won 22 sets in a row dating back to the first round last year, and although Sakkari is a quality player, The Wolf can’t see how getting near the red-hot Iga Swiatek.
The Wolf expects Rafael Nadal to beat Diego Schwartzman in this Quarter Final, but the 9.5 head start for the Argentinian appears long.
Nadal holds a 10-1 career record over Schwartzman, with the Argentinian’s only win last year in Rome on the clay.
The two have met at Grand Slam level on five occasions with Rafa winning all five matches dating back to 2015, but it hasn’t been easy for the Spaniard. Two of the five matches Schwartzman has forced a fourth set, and he’s covered the +9.5 game handicap in every Grand Slam match they’ve played.
Being one of three players to beat Nadal on clay in over two years, The Wolf feels this this game handicap is far too long.
The Wolf expects Novak Djokovic to be too strong for Matteo Berrettini in this French Open Quarter Final, but the Italian won’t make it easy for the world number one.
As a form line, Berrettini took a set off Zverev in Madrid and although lost to Tsitsipas in Rome, he did take the Greek to a first set tiebreaker. He enters this Quarter Final very fresh – Federer pulled out of their Round of 16 clash, while his second and third round wins were fairly straight forward straight set victories.
As for Djokovic, he wouldn’t be near as fresh – another Italian in Lorenzo Musetti took him to five sets forcing the Serbian to come from two sets to love down, which gives Berrettini a huge opportunity to jump the world number one.
Djokovic is 15-3 on the clay this year, but just half of those matches were against top-50 opponents where he’s 6-3. The Wolf expects this to be a lot closer than the $1.20 head to head odds suggest, with the Italian forcing this to four or five sets.