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Stefanos Tsitsipas came up massive to beat Rafael Nadal on Wednesday Night, but in-form Russian Daniil Medvedev is a much bigger test for the Greek.

Here are The Wolf’s Australian Open tips for Day 12.

Wolf’s Best

The Russian made a huge statement in the Quarter Final against countryman Andrey Rublev, and now comes up against Stefanos Tsitsipas in the Semi Final after the Greek came from nowhere to beat Nadal in five sets.

Medvedev would have been quite happy to wake up and see the Quarter Final between Nadal and Tsitsipas went for over four hours, and he probably would have been quite happy with the result too.

Medvedev holds a 5-1 career record over Tsitsipas, with the two playing six times in 20 months from March 2018 to November 2019. The Greek won their most recent encounter at the 2019 ATP World Tour Finals, but this doesn’t concern The Wolf too much nor should it concern the Russian – it was an off-week for Medvedev who failed to win a match in the round-robin tournament.

Although it was an incredible win by Tsitsipas over Nadal, his first two sets of tennis were awful – especially off his forehand side. As The Wolf anticipated, Nadal did tire and the Greek finally found his rhythm. If he starts slowly against Medvedev, this match will be over before we know it.

I’m expecting Russian to win in three or four sets and prevail to his first Australian Open Final.

Daniil Medvedev -1.5 Sets

Set Handicap

Value Bet

You can still get over $3 for Daniil Medvedev to win the Australian Open which is extraordinary value. Novak Djokovic is the obvious favourite, but the Serbian is nowhere near the level he generally plays at.

The Milos Raonic win in the fourth round was to be expected based on an 11-0 career record, while Alexander Zverev was in a winning position halfway through the third set but in typical Zverev fashion coughed it up.

Based on what we’re currently seeing from Djokovic, instead of taking the $1.40 head-t0-head for Medvedev to beat Tsitsipas The Wolf thinks you’re better off taking the value for the Russian to win the Australian Open.

Daniil Medvedev Win

Men's Australian Open - Outright Winner