The Australian Derby is the ultimate staying test for three-year-olds. Here are The Wolf’s Australian Derby tips.
Not much between him and the ruling favourite Montefilia in the Rosehill Guineas. The draw doesn’t help though. Looks about the right price just on double figures.
Won the New Zealand Derby last start which is normally good form for this but the second and third placegetters have been awful in their respective runs in the Rosehill Guineas and Tulloch Stakes. There was very little between the three in the NZ Derby. Despite that, this looks a weak Australian Derby and he can’t be totally dismissed.
Take out the winner (Mo’unga, not here) and Sky Lab was the clear run of the race in the Rosehill Guineas after having no luck against older horses the start prior. Ideally drawn and with the Rosehill Guineas being the top form reference coming into this, he looks very hard to beat.
One of the aforementioned NZ Derby placegetters who was woeful in the Rosehill Guineas. No.
See Milford but substitute “Tulloch Stakes” for Rosehill Guineas.
Won the Tulloch Stakes last week but got away with absolute murder in front on a track that was heavily biased to leaders. The last four Tulloch winners have won the Derby though so that’s what connections would hang their hat on.
Probably the run of the race in the Tulloch Stakes against the bias but there is still a big question mark over that form. Blinkers for the first time stepping up in trip is usually not a winning formula.
Had every possible hope in the Rosehill Guineas and didn’t look to run the trip out strongly. Has no appeal.
Had the run of the race and fell into second in the Tulloch Stakes. Doubt that form is any good.
Really one paced stayer who comes off a last start second at Bendigo. That doesn’t look to be the right form for this.
Beaten eight lengths at the midweeks last start. Impossible to have.
Had good support in the Tulloch Stakes off the back of some good provincial runs but just whacked away into fourth. Hard to see him winning this.
Beaten out of sight in the Tulloch and there’s no case to be made for him.
Justifiably huge odds.
His last start wasn’t too bad and he is drawn to get a soft run from barrier one, so could fluke his way into the top four.
Trainer David Payne is adamant she is a stayer but she didn’t see out the trip in what looked a pretty weak edition of the VRC Oaks. Draws to get the run of the race here and has the right form line but looks under the odds.
Sky Lab has the best lead in form, draws well and should be strong at the end of 2400m.
Boxed Exacta: 1,2,3,7,16
1. Sky Lab
2. Lion’s Roar
3. Rocket Spade
5. Young Werther