The South Australian Derby will be run over 2500m at Morphettville this Saturday. Here are The Wolf’s SA Derby tips.
Explosive Jack is looking for his third Derby success after claiming the Tasmanian and Australian versions. He’s much shorter here than last time in the Australian and to be fair, he was in the gun spot there given how the race unfolded. Not hard to see why he is favourite but looks short enough.
The pride of the Limestone Coast, he has won both of the traditional lead ups to this race, the Port Adelaide Guineas and the Chairman’s Stakes. However, he looks a real risk at the 2500m and happy to risk on that basis.
The veteran of just five starts – all this year – he defeated Explosive Jack two starts back in the St Leger Trial at Bendigo, but that was when getting 3Kg of weight relief. Since then he won the Galilee Final at Caulfield, not by a huge margin, but well enough. Suspect they will ride him a little more conservatively this time and he is absolutely a winning chance.
Ran well in the Port Adelaide Guineas but the four weeks between runs with blinkers going on for the first time is a significant concern. Combined with the wide draw, it’s enough to leave him out of the selections.
Got right back in the field in the Chairman’s and made no impression in the run home. Would have wanted him to do more there to consider him here.
Didn’t get a crack at them in the Chairman’s until it was too late, being severely held up until the 100m by which time it was all too late. Hard to be sure he would have been in the finish but the way he finished off at Sandown the start prior suggests he could have been. In the mix.
Grossly disappointing in the Chairman’s when well fancied. Can’t put the pen through him entirely though because he has shown some staying promise.
Got a lovely run one out and one back in the Chairman’s and whacked away to finish second at cricket score odds. Not sure about that form but he’s not the roughest.
Made the most ground of anything in the Chairman’s but it wasn’t exactly savaging the line. Still, you can project that if the track was even there and not favouring those on pace he would have been right in the finish. Should sit closer this time and he rates a winning chance.
Sent out at huge odds in the Chairman’s and ran accordingly, no case to be made for him.
Makes the trip down from Sydney but Chris Waller is no stranger to winning races here. Still, he had every possible in a fairly ordinary midweek race last time and doesn’t rate a winning hope.
One paced stayer who was beaten at Bendigo last time, happy to risk against this class.
Couldn’t win on the Pakenham synthetic last start. Good luck here.
Has not placed in nine career starts yet he ran fourth in both the Port Adelaide Guineas and the Chairman’s. Suspect that speaks more as to the suspect nature of that form than this fellow being a chance here.
Last year’s VRC Oaks winner is one of two fillies in the field. She got off the canvas in last week’s Australasian Oaks and rallied late to finish second. It was certainly the run of a filly looking for this trip and it is worth noting that the VRC Oaks was run at a very strong tempo, so she is a proven stayer. The stable won this race off a near identical prep with Qafila in 2019. The only query is the barrier draw (16).
Another of the roughies to finish close up in the Chairman’s. Inclined to risk her here.
Happy to back Damien Oliver in to work some magic from the wide draw. If he can do that, Personal will be awfully hard to beat.
Boxed exacta 1,3,15
3. Explosive Jack