The Australian Cup is Victoria’s premier autumn weight for age race. Here are The Wolf’s Australian Cup tips.
Lines up in this race for the first time since winning it in 2017. Chris Waller has given him a slightly unusual preparation into this, coming here second up after only the one lead in run, a fourth placing in the Orr Stakes four weeks ago. Last spring he was highly competitive with the likes of Russian Camelot and Arcadia Queen, so if he brings that form he is right in this.
Won this race in 2018 and 2019 and finished fourth at big odds last year. Ran okay in the Peter Young where he looked like he was going to drop out and run last but picked up again and was beaten less than two lengths. Given his record here he shouldn’t be ruled out.
Last year’s winner, and comes in off a similar prep, third up off a good last start run in the Blamey. Perfectly drawn and not hard to see why he is favourite.
Comes here off a first up third placing in the Peter Young where he was just a little one paced, but still ran well. Should come across from the wide draw and put some speed into it, but expect to find a couple stronger late.
Hasn’t won since the 2019 VRC Derby and that’s unlikely to change here.
Another Derby winner (2019 Australia) yet to win since his classic triumph. Would need wet ground to be any chance here and the forecast suggests that won’t happen.
Best form is a notch or two below this and the barrier draw (17 of 17) is brutal. No.
Seven of his nine career wins have been at 2300m or further and while his first up run was sound, would suggest waiting until he gets over that trip or further. Covered plenty of ground in the Peter Young and still stuck on for fourth, but that just raises question marks over that form.
Another better suited over a bit further and slightly easier. Don’t see him being in the finish here.
Placed third over 1400m under handicap conditions and jumps straight to 2000m at weight for age here. WA galloper who could absolutely win a race or two over this side of the Nullabor, just not this one.
Closed off as well as anything in the Peter Young and while he has been aimed towards the Cups, there is a case to be made that this is his best trip. Certainly in the top tier of chances.
Faces a significant jump in class here but with nine wins from thirteen starts it isn’t hard to see why connections were encouraged to have a crack here, especially given he boasts a win over Paradee who is second favourite in the early market. Weight for age racing is just a different ball game though (most of this field would have made a mess of the Victoria Cup with 56.5Kg). Wouldn’t surprise to see him measure up.
Runner up in that Victoria Cup and gets a 3.5Kg swing vis a vis Defibrillate. Suspect he may want further now though.
Gets blinkers for the first time. He should be a better horse with them in the long term but it be a double edged sword if it fires him up early, especially with Luke Currie trying to find a spot from barrier sixteen. Capable if everything goes to plan.
Out and out wet tracker who won’t be threatening here.
On her fourth stable now and finally showed a glimpse of form last time out in the Carlyon Cup. Even at her very best though, doubt she would be up to this.
Had the gun run in the Peter Young and won well. However, she will need to improve into this and given she was already fourth up there – with a race fitness edge over key rivals – not sure if she will be able to find it. Barrier one is another question mark. Under the odds.
The old boy Humidor is as capable as anything on his day and no doubt he will be primed here, despite the unusual prep. Looks great each way value. Fifty Stars is well found in the early market but if he was to get out to 5.00 or better, would be worth a bet.
Box Trifecta: 1,2,3,4,10,11,12,14,17
2. Fifty Stars
3. Shared Ambition