The Melbourne Storm have been the premier team all season and look destined to work their way into another Grand Final.
The money has been launched at Melbourne from Saturday night and if this jumped at two converted tries it would not surprise in the slightest.
The Storm tick every box.
Melbourne have absolutely dominated Penrith including a 26-20 win in the Grand Final last year in a score that did not reflect Melbourne’s true domination. They have now won 20 of the last 24 against the Panthers including a 37-10 win when the teams met in Round 20. The Storm are 15-6 against the spread v Penrith since 2008.
The Storm became the top attacking team of all-time this year and have matched that with the second best defence. The Panthers have managed just two tries in their two finals. The Storm have points in them. The Panthers don’t.
The injury concern over Brian To’o is a major issue for Penrith too. The Storm love Suncorp, having covered 10 of 11 at the ground, while the Panthers have covered just 9 of 27 interstate.
Melbourne should dominate this game.
This is a huge under spot for Penrith. Normally this would be a match total under but the Storm can really pile the points on to risk that. Penrith – not so much.
The Panthers have scored just 18 points in their two finals games so far and neither team had the defensive chops of the Storm.
The under is 16-4 when Penrith play interstate and 8-4 when they play at Suncorp.
Three tries looks well beyond the Panthers here.
Storm rake Brandon Smith has been a tryscoring wizard this year with 12 tries in 23 games. He has scored in 10 of his last 16 games, despite missing most of last game. He also scored against Penrith this season.
SAME GAME MULTI
Ryan Papenhuyzen 2+ Tries/Justin Olam Try = $14.75
Sound the alarm, the Pap is back. He has scored five tries in his last two games after scoring multiples in two of his first three this season. Justin Olam has six tries in his last seven games.