Patrick Reed has been disappointing of late and will be desperately looking to find a win this week down in class at a weak 3M Open from TPC Twin Cities in Minnesota. Here are The Wolf’s Best Bets for the 3M Open. 

Best Bet

Patrick Reed

Outright Winner

Situated in between the final major of the year and a WGC event, it is of no surprise that we have a relatively weak field competing this week. Dustin Johnson heads betting but the world No.1 is struggling of late while the next line of betting is filled with non-winners Tony Finau and Louis Oosthuizen.

That presents Patrick Reed as plenty of value among the genuine contenders. 

Reed is an elite-level player not only looking to return to the winner’s circle but also to lock down a spot in the Ryder Cup team. This is the kind of course that should suit him with putting and scoring the keys to success here.

‘Captain America’ ranks Top 25 in both Eagles and Birdies on Tour this year while he ranks 4th in Putting Average and 8th in Strokes Gained: Putting. He fits 7th in the field in putting on bentgrass. 

Reed played here in 2019 and finished T-23. He also has a Top 15 in the  2020 Arnold Palmer Invitational. 

While his form is down, he has Top 25 finishes in four of his last seven starts and a big rebound here seems to be on the cards.

Next Best

Brendon Todd

Outright Winner

As noted above, an ability to go low and get hot with the flat stick is the key to success at TPC Twin Cities and is very much in the wheelhouse of Brendon Todd. 

Todd is the top putter in the field on bentgrass and is generally an elite putter. He ranks 2nd in the field in Strokes Gained: Putting and 17th in Putting Average. He can score to boot ranking Top 20 in Eagles. 

He recorded a Top 20 on the Arnold Palmer-designed Bay Hill back in 2020. 

The three-time tour winner looks well suited here.

Value Bet

Troy Merritt

Outright Winner

The two key correlation tournaments for this event is the Arnold Palmer Invitational and the Rocket Mortgage Classic. No player has better form across those events than Troy Merritt. 

Merritt finished 2nd at the Rocket Mortgage Classic this year and was T-8 the year prior. He posted a Top 25 in the 2020 Arnold Palmer Invitational. He finished T-7 here on debut in 2019. His course correlation profile is excellent. 

He sits Top 10 in the field in putting on bentgrass and he is a Top 20 eagle scorer.