Thursday was a good day for the Wolf despite best bet Kelly Oubre being withdrawn pre-game, but a James Harden triple-double into a Nets win saluted at $3.40 along with 5/7 SGMs coming off, ranging from $4 – $6.50.
For Friday the Wolf is taking two of the league’s in-form players to clear their points line in a big day of NBA basketball.
Zion Williamson is putting up some serious numbers of late averaging 27.3 points over the last month.
The Pelicans are looking to bounce back after a disappointing loss to Chicago on Thursday, which won’t be easy off no rest with a 1-4 record this season – playing to their advantage is the fact both Bam Adebayo and Jimmy Butler are listed as questionable.
Although New Orleans’ record off no-rest is poor, Zion’s numbers off no-rest have not been. Williamson averages 30.8 from the five games off no-rest this season, clearing the 26.5 in four of the five – the most recent four.
Although the Heat are one of the better defensive outfits in the NBA, the Power Forward spot they’ve had the most trouble with the last month with them scoring 6% above average over this period.
From Zion’s last 12 games his lowest return is 23 points, clearing the 26.5 points line in eight of those last 12.
With Ingram struggling off no-rest this season, we’ll see another opportunity for Zion to go big in the televised game.
Nikola Jokic is on a whole another level right now. He dropped 39 against the Bulls and backed it up with 37 against the Bucks the next day – both teams that concede points to centres 5% above average over the last month.
Now he faces the Indiana Pacers, and although Myles Turner is in the conversation for the Defensive Player of the Year, a lot of those defensive stats are generated in help D situations – because the Pacers are the third easiest team in the NBA for centres to score against over the last month, 21% above average.
How did the Joker go against the two easiest? I’m glad you asked – despite Gobert being the DPOY favourite, he also is doing this as a help defender as the Jazz are the easiest team for centres to score against over the last month. Jokic has faced Gobert twice and dropped 35 and 47 on the Jazz.
The second easiest team over the last month is Sacramento – Jokic faced them twice in the first four games of the season where he had 26 and 29, but it was the third time where he faced the Kings where it got big finishing with a career-high 50 points.
Jokic had 30 on Indiana the last time he faced them last season, and the way his scoring has evolved from 19.9 points per game last season to 27.3 per game this season, there’s a number of bets the Wolf is keen to take in this.
Add Jokic’s points line to your multis at 26.5 and then take the 30+ value bet at $2.60. It’s also worth looking at two smaller players with Jokic 35+ and 40+ paying $5 and $15 respectively.
Zion Williamson Over 26.5 Points / Nikola Jokic Over 26.5 Points / Kyle Lowry 20+ Points = $5.25
NBA Same Game Multi Tips
Celtics (-7.5) / Kemba Walker 15+ Points / Kyle Lowry Over 21.5 Points = $5.00
Clippers Win / Russell Westbrook Under 23.5 Points / Rui Hachimura Under 6.5 Rebounds = $4.33
Knicks 11+ / Knicks-Knicks Double Result = $3.40
Nuggets Win / Nikola Jokic Over 26.5 Points / Jamal Murray Over 24.5 Points = $5.00
Bucks Win / Brook Lopez Over 11.5 Points / Ja Morant Under 4.5 Rebounds = $4.20
Zion Williamson Over 26.5 Points / Brandon Ingram Under 5.5 Rebounds / Lonzo Ball 6+ Assists = $5.25
Spurs Win / DeMar DeRozan Under 5.5 Rebounds / Dejounte Murray 6+ Assists = $4.75
Trail Blazers Win / Damian Lillard Under 4.5 Rebounds / Damian Lillard 8+ Assists = $4.33
Suns 1-10 / Suns-Suns Double Result = $4.00