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Nine games of NBA basketball on Thursday with the league-leading Utah Jazz facing the ultimate test when they take on the reigning Champions, the Los Angeles Lakers. Although The Wolf thinks the Jazz should notch another win, expect one of their stars to have a limited impact.

Best Bet

The Jazz are flying winning 21 of their last 23 games and will face a Lakers outfit that have been slightly underwhelming of late without Anthony Davis and Dennis Schroder.

This best bet is absolutely no diss on the ‘Stifle Tower’ who was selected for the All Star Game, but even without Anthony Davis, the Lakers do a fantastic job at limiting centres and there’s no doubt this will impact Rudy Gobert’s numbers.

The Frenchman was huge against the Clippers three games ago, recording 23 points and 20 rebounds but from the last four games, he’s played this is the only time he’s cleared the PR of 27.5.

  • 10 points & 12 rebounds vs Charlotte
  • 8 points & 15 rebounds vs Clippers
  • 23 points & 20 points vs Clippers
  • 11 points & 9 rebounds vs Philadelphia

Last season rebounds for centres against the Lakers were near on impossible, and this trend has continued this season. Over the last month, the Lakers are the second most difficult team for centres to score against at 23% below average. They’re also the second most difficult team for centres to rebound against, going 16% below average. The 76ers are the most difficult team for rebounds, in which they held Gobert to single figured four games ago – they only occasion in his last ten games.

You may be wondering “But there’s no Anthony Davis, so this should change” – wrong. Since Davis’ injury the Lakers are doing an even better job against the centre spot with Marc Gasol playing more minutes – they’ve restricted centres for points 29% below average and 30% below average for rebounds.

Although the Jazz should win they way they’re playing, expect a quiet one from Gobert.

Rudy Gobert

Under 27.5 PR

Value Bet

The Indiana Pacers haven’t played for the last week and it’s not because of injuries or health protocols – their game against the Rockets was postponed due to weather conditions in Houston, while the Spurs had four players test positive for COVID-19.

Although they may be slightly rusty, they’ll certainly be well rested and eager to get back on the floor when they host the Warriors who are playing the second-leg of a back-to-back.

Golden State has a 2-3 record off no rest this season, but they’ve lost three of their last four games in the second-leg of a back-to-back – their only win coming against the Spurs who were also playing a back-to-back.

It’s a big game for Domantas Sabonis. Snubbed from the All Star Game that he featured in last season despite his point production going from 18.5 to 21.5, the Lithuanian will be determined to make a statement against the Warriors.

Sabonis is coming off 25+ point performances in three of his last four games, including a triple-double against Minnesota.

The Warriors concede points to power forwards 15% above average over the last month, so the Wolf expects Sabonis to have a big game and lead his Pacers to a win against a tired Golden State with Curry, Draymond, Wiggins and Oubre all playing over 36 minutes against the Knicks.

There’s a few plays in this contest involving an Indiana win and Sabonis, with the big man paying $2.30 to score 25+ points and $8.50 to record a triple double.

Domantas Sabonis 20+ Points / Pacers Win

Same Game Multi

Multi

Rudy Gobert Under 27.5 PR / Domantas Sabonis 20+ Points / Jarrett Allen 12+ Rebounds / Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 20+ Points / Devin Booker 20+ Points = $5.95

NBA Same Game Multi Tips

Pacers Win / Domantas Sabonis 20+ Points / Draymond Green Over 8.5 Assists = $4.50

Jarrett Allen 15+ Points / Jarrett Allen 14+ Rebounds / Collin Sexton Under 24.5 Points = $4.33

Celtics (-3.5) / Daniel Theis Under 5.5 Rebounds / Jaylen Brown 4+ Assists = $4.75

Pistons (+9.5) / Zion Williamson 25+ Points / Jerami Grant Under 5.5 Rebounds = $5.75

Over 228.5 Points / Karl-Anthony Towns 25+ Points / Zach LaVine Over 30.5 Points = $4.75

Thunder (-1.5) / Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 23.5 Points / Darius Bazley 2+ Threes = $5.75

Devin Booker Over 25.5 Points / Mikal Bridges Over 12.5 Points / Devin Booker Over 4.5 Assists = $5.25

Jazz Win / LeBron James Under 29.5 Points / Rudy Gobert Under 13.5 Rebounds = $4.50