Only the three NBA games on Friday, but there’s a huge one you can watch on Kayo between the Bucks and Lakers. The Wolf doesn’t expect a free-flowing contest though, with the Lakers determined to slow down the Greek Freak.
I’m expecting this Bucks and Lakers contest to be a real grind, with the current total points line of 229.5 quite high.
The Lakers are the second-best defensive team in the NBA only conceding 105.1 points per game this season, and they’ve got the personnel to minimize Giannis’ impact with LeBron and Anthony Davis.
When the two teams met last season we had close games decided by 10 points or less, and the total points in those games landed at 216 and 215 total points.
The Lakers have been posting some decent tallies lately, but due to their defense 10 of their last 11 games have fallen under the 229.5 total points line. As for the Bucks, it’s a similar story with four of their last five games under that mark.
I can’t see Frank Vogel allowing this to become a free-slowing shootout, and expect the Lakers to force the ball out of Giannis’ hands by packing the paint, and making those Bucks role players beat them.
It was an interrupted debut season at the Jazz for Mike Conley last season, but he proved his worth in the bubble and hasn’t set a foot wrong for Utah this season.
The Jazz are rolling with a 10-4 record and Conley has been a huge contributor so far, averaging 16.1 points and 6.3 assists.
His assist line is set at 6.5 where you can currently get $2, but the 8+ at $2.80 is tempting based on recent form.
Conley’s last three games have produced 8 assists against the Hawks, another 8 against the Nuggets and an equal season-high of 10 against the Pelicans. He faces New Orleans again two days later, and there’s no reason why he cannot produce 8 more assists in this one.
New Orleans are the second easiest team in the NBA for point guards to get assists against, going at 15% above NBA average. If you’re keen to take the 6.5 assist line, you may as well also take the value of 8+ for Conley.
Lakers v Bucks Under 229.5 Total Points, Mike Conley Over 6.5 Assists, Julius Randle 20+ Points = $5.85
NBA Same Game Multi Tips
Under 229.5 Total Points / Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Over 9.5 Points / Giannis Antetokounmpo 4+ Assists = $5.00
Knicks (+5.5) / Julius Randle 20+ Points / Elfrid Payton Under 4.5 Assists = $5.75
Jazz (-6.5) / Mike Conley Over 6.5 Assists / Eric Bledsoe 10+ Points = $6.00