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The Tigers look to reach the third Grand Final in four years, but it won’t be easy against the Power at Adelaide Oval. Here are The Wolf’s best bets for the Preliminary Final between Port Adelaide and Richmond.

Find more AFL tips from The Wolf, including his Brisbane Lions v Geelong preview, here.

Best Bet

Port Adelaide Win

Port Adelaide v Richmond

What a Preliminary Final we have on Friday night when 2020’s minor premiers in Port Adelaide face the Tigers – a team looking to make it three premierships in four years.

Both teams enter this in outstanding form with the Power clearing in their last four games and Richmond in three of their last four. These teams met in Round 11 in one of the games of the season with Port Adelaide winning by 21 points in a high-scoring affair.

Although there was 165 points in this year’s meeting, I’m expecting quite the opposite on Friday. There’s the possibility of rain in Adelaide, while five of Port Adelaide’s last seven games at Adelaide Oval have gone unders.

One thing is guaranteed – both teams are going to bring the heat in a high-pressure, contested game. The Power have the strong bodies to match Richmond around the ball with Wines, Boak, Rockliff and Powell-Pepper – but they lack the size down back up against Tom Lynch and Jack Riewoldt.

If the Power can settle early and not get blown away early by the experienced Richmond outfit that have been here for the fourth time in as many years, The Wolf thinks they can top off their incredible 2020 season with a Grand Final birth. They’ve won 7 of their 8 games at Adelaide Oval this season, with the home crowd playing a huge factor in this one.

Next Best

Brad Ebert Anytime Goal Scorer

Port Adelaide v Richmond

Ebert’s role as a half-forward has been instrumental to Port Adelaide this season with his ability to push up the ground and still win the footy, whilst putting his goal sense to full use.

The 30-year-old was out of the line-up for four games during the season, but returned in Round 13 and made an immediate impact on the scoreboard kicking a goal in four of his last five games.

Ebert has kicked two goals in his last two games including the Qualifying Final against Geelong, and with Dixon slightly down on goal kicking form expect Ebert to step up in a big game for the Power by kicking at least one goal.

Value Bet

Tom Lynch 1st Quarter Goal Scorer

Port Adelaide v Richmond

This man is the key for Richmond who need to start strong against this Port Adelaide crowd. Lynch will likely see Tom Clurey or even Trent McKenzie as his opponent to start, with a significant size advantage favouring the Tiger.

The Tigers will understand the importance of a quick start against a likely nervous Port Adelaide, and Lynch is one of the better starters in the competition.

He’s kicked at least one goal in his last nine games and in 15 of his 17 games this season, but it’s from those last nine games which emphasises Lynch’s ability to get on the scoreboard early – he’s kicked a goal in the first quarter in seven of those.

Lynch kicked the first goal in his return game against the Saints last week, and with Richmond applying early pressure I don’t mind the price at $8.50 as the first goal scorer.

Same Game Multi

Brad Ebert Anytime Goal Scorer / Tom Lynch Anytime Goal Scorer / Zak Butters 15+ Disposals / Jayden Short 15+ Disposals = $5.75

Zak Butters had 20 touches in the Round 11 clash against Richmond, and although he only had 14 disposals against the Cats in the Qualifying Final, disposals are down 10% on average this season against Geelong – the Pies only had 200 disposals last week. Jayden Short has been ultra-consistent this 2020 season and has had 15+ disposals in 16 of his last 17 games.

Find more AFL tips from The Wolf, including his Brisbane Lions v Geelong preview, here.