The hot Pies got the better of the not so hot Dogs, and went a win clear at the top of the ladder.
There isn’t much between second and seventh though, and with such a short season, every match starts to feel like a final. Here is my round 7 preview of the AFLW, with the matches to make room in your weekend for, and the ones to leave alone.
Gold Coast v Richmond – Metricon Stadium, Friday 7:40pm
They may be called the Suns, but there is not much light coming out of the Gold Coast this season. After nearly nabbing a win against West Coast two weeks ago, they were given a good lesson on how to play with a 70-point fogging by front runners Adelaide. I don’t see the suns getting on the winners board, here, or at all this season!
Richmond were outclassed by North Melbourne last round. Mon Contii, a late out, was huge for the young side and her class through the midfield was definitely missed. A third quarter surge from Richmond kept North goalless against the breeze. Contii’s replacement, Christina Bernadi, managed a couple of goals giving Richmond a sniff of coming within 20, but was not to be going down by 38.
These two teams met last year and Gold Coast came out on top, winning by 11 points. Richmond however, were inaccurate at goal kicking (2.9) ,so it wasn’t a completely dominant or comfortable win.
Richmond will be sweating on Contii to make a return her to the side. With her back it should be a comfortable win. Who am I kidding, without her, it should still be a comfortable win.
Wakefield has been incredibly solid for Richmond this year, scoring 8.3 so far. I would be confident with her as an Anytime Goal Scorer for sure. Richmond captain Katie Brennan took a few weeks to sit confident in her role after a year out of footy, but she’s back in the game and will be chucking her in as an Anytime Goal Scorer as well…so going to pop them in a multi with Richmond covering the line – happy days!
Head to Head: Richmond at line
Multi: Richmond at line, Brennan ATG, Wakefield ATG
St Kilda v GWS – RSEA Park (Moorabbin), Saturday 3:10pm
A game I won’t be having a punt on. Both these two teams had really tough losses last week, and although it’s easy to say I think the Saints will be comfortable winners, it just depends on how the young Saints handled it. A win and they stay in finals contention, a loss and it’ll be a long shot. The Giants haven’t been anywhere near it, unfortunately, but this could be a match that they go in thinking they might be able to annoyingly take from the Saints. The weather will help GWS out here with rain predicted, which as we know always evens out the teams.
North Melbourne v Western Bulldogs, North Hobart Oval, Saturday 5:10pm
North and the Dogs are both sitting on the same points on the ladder, so this will be a match that will set them apart. The Roos are sitting with that pretty percentage of 165% after some huge wins earlier in the season, plus coming off a very clinical match against Richmond, so they’ll be going in to this with confidence and as favourites. The Dogs got taught a lesson last week by the Pies. They’re not a pushover by any means, but last week did show that they’re a ’round about’ team, rather than a contender.
North showcased their depth last week having eight different goal kickers. It’s always going to be a hard team to stop when there are midfielders kicking goings for fun. Ruck Emma King, with her 190cm+ frame was dangerous when she moved up the ground, and small forward Daisy Bateman has really come in to her own this year, kicking two.
This weather during this match will really even up these teams. I’d be keeping a close eye on the line. If you can snag it at the moment when its 16.5, I’d be looking to take the Bulldogs. It is meant to be raining during the entire match, so that will bring that scoring right down.
Huntington is always a solid choice for an Anytime Goal Scorer. The former AFLW rising star is an all round player so don’t let her height bother you with the weather. Daisey Bateman is a small in and under player so like her for an Anytime Goal Scorer in these conditions, and Ash Riddell will give you a bit of value for an any time goal scorer as well.
Head to Head: North to win, Dogs at line if right (currently 16.5)
Goal Scorers: Bateman, Huntington, Riddell
Melbourne v Adelaide – Casey Fields, Saturday 7:10pm
Melbourne last week finally played to their potential. In the two rounds prior they had only managed to kick three goals and a remarkable 20 points, showcasing their Achilles heel. They must have spent a bit of time in front of goal during the week because they managed to kick nine against the Saints, and had a convincing 44-point win. Adelaide, well, there’s was a textbook performance against the Giants, absolutely demolishing them by 70 points in the end.
This could be a really good match, both teams best footy is great, but when they’re off they can be really off, especially their forward lines who have both been been so inaccurate this year.
I’m going against the grain and actually think that Melbourne could be a chance here, and they’re paying well overs so there is definitely some value there if you’re after an outsider.
I like Melbourne at the line though as it’s pretty substantial. Gotta remember this game is being played at Casey Fields which is a tough place to play and the weather could make this an ugly, low scoring game of footy.
That’s the feature of my Same Game Multi that you can find on the app one hour before game time. Paxman is the highest disposal getter week in, week out, so I am going to go on trend and pop her in for 20 or more, and there are a few certainties in life. Death, taxes, and Erin Phillips scoring a goal – she’s done it every game this year.
Head to Head: Melbourne at the line
Featured BYO multi: Melbourne at line, Paxman 20+ disposals, Phillips ATG
Value: Melbourne to win
Carlton v Dockers – Ikon Park, Sunday 1:10pm
Carlton are coming off a 33-point win against arguably the worst team in the competition. But, I tell you what, their last half, and in particular the last quarter in Round 6, was absolutely putrid. I cannot imagine the spray they would have had from coach Daniel Harford after this match. They were fumbly and made bad decisions all over the ground, and probably lucky they weren’t playing a quality opponent.
Fremantle on the other hand, absolutely dismantled West Coast proving they still need to be considered flag contenders. Kiara Bowers starred yet again, winning another Best on Ground medal. At this rate, they’ll be calling it the Kiara Bowers medal, with no one else having won it.
I would be very confident with Freo at the line here. The Dockers travelling over to Victoria for the first time might give Carlton a sniff early on, but they just don’t have the depth all over the ground like Fremantle does. The defence of Fremantle has been absolute class, and has only let through 94 points this entire season, and Carlton, without a big key forward, will struggle to find avenues to score.
I like bigger than the line though, the 25+ margin for me is a good area. It will be a clearer day on Sunday weather wise than it is on Saturday, but just make sure you check the radar before popping it on – play it safer if the rain is lingering.
Fremantle’s forward line are absolute stars as well. Sabreena Duffy and Gemma Houghton both huge targets up forward, playing different types of footy making it so difficult to defend. They should both score. Houghton scored five goals last week against the Eagles, so she is full to the brim with confidence.
Head to Head: Fremantle 25+ (or line)
Featured BYO multi: Fremantle 25+, Houghton 2+ Goals, Bowers 20+ disposals
Brisbane v Collingwood – Hickey Park, Sunday 2:10pm AEST
The Magpies have put their hand up as the team to beat. They’re 6-0 and they’re absolutely flying. With a midfield you can’t fault, a defensive backline with the height and pace to match any forward line in the competition, and a forward line who can kick a snag from anywhere, they have quickly removed the question mark attached to their name at the start of the competition.
Bri Davey and Britt Bonnici proving they’re in All Australian form yet again, both polling perfect votes in the Coaches Votes. Together they have combined 89 of a possible 108 available votes. They are the powerhouse of the midfield which can get them out of trouble in difficult times.
The Lions though are in pretty hot form too. Question marks were raised after their loss to Adelaide, but as all the good teams do, they don’t dwell for too long, and they came back and silenced the critics. They went on to beat the top side in Fremantle, and then destroyed the Giants in a clinical performance. Dakota Davidson starred yet again, scoring 2.2 taking her tally to 10 goals so far this season.
Like all good powerhouse clubs, there isn’t much travelling going on for Collingwood. This will be the first time they’ve left the south eastern suburbs of Melbourne, but they do travel well, and of the two times they’ve travelled to Queensland to play the Lions (including my incredible debut game) they’ve won.
I’m going for the 1-39 market here for some better value than the head to head market. It’ll be a close-ish match, but the Pies seem to play well against the Lions, with the Lions not having beaten them in four years, even when Collingwood were really struggling.
Can’t go past Chloe Molloy for an Anytime goal either, she can’t miss, and with the better defenders being worried about her, it gives Aish Sheridan the space she needs for any time there.
Head to Head: Pies 1-39
Featured BYO Multi: Collingwood 1-39, Molloy ATG, Sheridan ATG
West Coast v Geelong – Mineral Resources Park, Sunday 2:10pm WST
Another game I won’t be having a punt on. They’re two really poor teams, and you just don’t know who will be the worse team on the day. You’d think with the Cat’s having to travel to Perth from Geelong the day of the game, the Eagles will win comfortably, but the Eagles are coming off a 67 point thumping, so I’m not confident with either team.